California Wheat Commission  

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California Association of Wheat Growers (CAWG)

October 17, 2008

PREVIEW:  2008 Regional Barley, Common Wheat and Triticale, and Durum Wheat Performance Tests in California
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Dr. Lee Jackson has graciously provided us a preview of the 2008 Regional Barley, Common Wheat and Triticale, and Durum Wheat Performance Tests in California."  Dr. Jackson has provided his "analysis/interpretation" of the tests;  we've included a link to yield data which we believe are of most interest to you. 

The entire final report will be available likely in early November through his normal distribution list and will be uploaded to the UC Small Grain Website.

Fall-sown winter wheat.  The fall-sown winter wheat test that was evaluated, the Oregon Winter Elite Yield Trial, was provided by Mike Flowers, Extension Specialist, Oregon State University. The test contained 40 entries (19 cultivars and 21 advanced lines), and was evaluated at two sites, Montague (Siskiyou county) and Tulelake (Modoc county). Irrigation was cut-off too early at the Siskiyou site, resulting in very low tests weights and low grain yields for many entries.

Masami showed moderately severe leaf blotching/chlorosis at the Tulelake site. One or more plots of several entries (Stephens, Tubbs 06, Bitterroot, ID9364901A, Masami, Xerpha, BU6W00-523, 99X 1009-19, ORI2042037, Idaho 587, ID99-435, OSUPOP-35-2-CL, Coda, Cara, OR9901619, OR2050293S, and OR2050301S) lodged severely at Tulelake, where grain yields were extremely high.

Several entries (Salute, AP700CL, OR2040726S, OR2040728S and OR2050299S) yielded at least 10,000 lb/acre at Tulelake. Average yields ranged from 3360 lb/acre at the Siskiyou site to 8700 lb/acre at the Tulelake site. ID9364901A was highest yielding at the Siskiyou site, while OR2040728S was highest yielding at the Tulelake site. OR2050299S, OR2040728S, and OR2040726S were highest yielding overall.

Yield Data - Intermountain Fall-sown Winter Wheat

Fall-sown spring wheat and triticale.  The fall-sown spring wheat and triticale test contained 50 entries (24 wheat cultivars, 21 advanced wheat lines, 3 triticale cultivars and 2 advanced triticale lines). Very little rainfall occurred after the end of February throughout California, so the rainfed tests (Glenn and Tulare sites) suffered drought stress. No data are available for the Tulare site: Drought stress was extreme and plants were very short with few tillers; just prior to harvest, sheep grazed the plots to the ground. Triticale entries at the Kings site had very poor stands and low grain yields, possibly because the plots were planted following a summer crop of sorghum-sudan. Uneven irrigation contributed to non-uniformity of yield at the Kings site. Late season moisture stress (early irrigation-cut-off) reduced the yields of later-maturing entries at the Kern site.

Stripe rust was severe on several entries at 4 sites. Entries showing severe stripe rust reactions at one or more sites included Anza, Yecora Rojo, Express, Summit, Blanca Grande, Clear White, Solano, Joaquin, APB W02AZ-365 and WB YU903-283; Entries showing moderately severe stripe rust reactions included Dash 12 and WWW BR5874E. Entries showing low (highly resistant) stripe rust reactions at all sites included Patwin, Lassik, Expresso, Redwing, Blanca Royale, Blanca Fuerte, Lariat, Ultra, WB DA 904-32W, RSI 01W20153, UCD 07013/24, UCD 07013/30, UCD 0715/9, UCD 07103/57, and Trical Brand 105 triticale.

Extremely windy conditions just prior to harvest caused grain shatter at 5 sites. Entries showing moderately severe to severe grain shatter at one or more sites included Mika, Dash 12, Expresso, UCD 06010/5, APB W02AZ-365, RSI 00WB80722, UCD 07013/24, WB BZ904-331WP, WWW CNBR9330, APB W05AZ-137, APB W05AZ-149, and APB W05AZ-176.

Grain protein content of samples from three sites in the Sacramento Valley and three sites in the San Joaquin Valley was measured. Average grain protein content ranged from 11.20% to 15.02% for samples from the Sacramento Valley and from 10.29% to 13.58% for samples from the San Joaquin Valley. APB W05AZ-137 had the highest grain protein content overall. Quality evaluations (conducted by the California Wheat Commission laboratory) of samples from the Kings site showed that Blanca Grande, Mika, Solano, Patwin, Otis, Expresso, Redwing, and APB W05AZ-137 produced high loaf volume and satisfactory overall bread score.

Average grain yields ranged from 2370 lb/acre at the Glenn Rainfed site to 6720 lb/acre at the Kern site. RSI 01T40207 triticale was the highest yielding in the Sacramento Valley (Blanca Fuerte and Ultra were the highest yielding wheat entries); RSI 01W20153, in the San Joaquin Valley; RSI 01T40207 and WB ACS 55304 triticale entries, in the Imperial Valley (Ultra, Lassik, Blanca Fuerte, and Summit were the highest yielding wheat entries); and Joaquin, at rainfed sites. In the three-year period 2006-08, Trical Brand 118 triticale was the highest yielding in the Sacramento Valley (Blanca Fuerte was the highest yielding wheat); Redwing, Blanca Grande, Joaquin, and Blanca Fuerte, in the San Joaquin Valley; Summit, in the Imperial Valley; and Cal Rojo, at rainfed sites.
 
Yield Data - Fall-sown Spring Wheat and Triticale

Spring-sown spring wheat. The spring-sown spring wheat test that was evaluated, the Oregon Spring Wheat Elite Yield Trial, was provided by Mike Flowers, Extension Specialist, Oregon State University. The test contained 30 entries (14 cultivars and 16 advanced lines), and was evaluated at three sites. Saturated soil conditions through early summer resulted in severe root rot and very low grain yields in portions of the test at the Lassen site. Affected plots were non-uniformly distributed, so yield variability was very high. Two or more plots of the following entries were in the most severely affected portion of the nursery: Cabernet, OR4031111, Clear White, and Blanca Grande. There were scattered foci of BYD, root rot (probably Fusarium), and bacterial streak (Xanthomonas translucens) at the Siskiyou site. There was no entry-specificity regarding disease incidence/severity.

High yield variability at the Siskiyou site is partially due to non-uniform sprinkler irrigation; a portion of plots in the 1st rep received poor coverage, resulting in low yields (the following entries yield about half as much in the 1st rep as they did in the other two reps: BZ901-717, OR4031111, Patwin, RSI10348W, 37C-3, UI Caltaldo, Nick, and Alpowa). Several entries (ID 0377S, BZ903-445-WP, OR4041451, Nick, Louise, WA008039, and Alpowa) at the Tulelake site had severe lodging at harvest. Average grain yields ranged from 2100 lb/acre at the Lassen site to 7860 lb/acre at the Tulelake site. BZ604-002 was the highest yielding at the Lassen and Siskiyou sites; and UI Cataldo, at the Tulelake site. BZ604-002 and Hank were highest yielding overall.
 
Yield Data - Intermountain Spring-sown Spring Wheat

Durum wheat. The durum wheat test contained 35 entries (15 cultivars and 20 advanced lines). A few plots at the Kings site had poor stands and low grain yields, possibly because the site was planted following a summer crop of sorghum-sudan. Uneven irrigation contributed to non-uniformity of yield at the Kings site. Late season moisture stress (early irrigation-cut-off) reduced the yields of later-maturing entries at the Kern site.

Stripe rust was moderately severe to severe on several entries (UCD 06222/53, RSI 06WV141, RSI 06WV164, UCD 06222/52, and WWW CHD1126B) at the UC Davis site. Lodging was moderately severe to severe for several entries (Kronos, Westmore, Maestrale, WB YU 803-52, UCD 06222/53, APB D257-11/2, and APB D257-11/3) at the UC Davis and/or Imperial sites.

Average grain yields ranged from 5170 lb/acre at the Kings site to 7250 lb/acre at the UC Davis site. Sargolla was the highest yielding in the San Joaquin Valley while WB DA804-24 was highest yielding in the Imperial Valley. In the three-year period 2006-08, Platinum was the highest yielding in the San Joaquin Valley; and RSI 59 and Desert King, in the Imperial Valley.
 
Yield - Durum Wheat

 

Bill to Suspend 10-Acre Rule for One Year Gets Bush Signature
 
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President George W. Bush signed into law this week H.R. 6849, which suspends the 10-acre rule for one year and makes technical corrections to the SURE disaster program.
 
As previously reported, the legislation was approved by both chambers of Congress in late September.
 
The fix, costing about $9 million, will buy legislators a year to create a permanent solution to the 10-acre rule dispute.
 
The law also contains clarifications on how minor acreages and grazing land will be treated under SURE and establishes a minimum loss threshold for the program, requiring that there be a physical loss of at least 10 percent of one crop on a farm to qualify for payments. Congressional Budget Office (CBO) estimates show these changes saving $3 million.
 
The difference between the $9 million ACRE fix and $3 million SURE savings will be paid for from Risk Management Agency IT monies in the 2011 fiscal year.
 
Because the 10-acre dispute put into question whether thousands of farmers were eligible for 2008 Farm Bill programs, the new law also extends the sign-up period for direct, counter-cyclical and ACRE payments until Nov. 14 or 45 days after enactment.
 
Though enactment of H.R. 6849 will resolve, at least temporarily, two major 2008 Farm Bill implementation hick-ups, other issues remain. Secretary of Agriculture Ed Schafer has indicated a USDA announcement is imminent on the crop years to be used for ACRE program revenue guarantees. Fixes for other technical corrections and problems at USDA - including a lack of IT infrastructure - remain elusive, though work continues in the agricultural community throughout recess. 
Lame Duck Session Agenda will Include Financial Market
 
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When Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid (D, NV) announced two weeks ago he'd bring the Senate back beginning November 17 for a "few days" of post-election legislating, he cited a narrow agenda of land bills.  But today, with the House following Reid's lead on a lame duck session, the agenda now includes a second economic stimulus package, a push by the White House for Congress to approve languishing trade legislation, and the strong likelihood some may push for additional steps to help the lagging economy. 
 
While Reid talks about a second stimulus package costing about $150 billion and targeted at infrastructure, state Medicaid programs, food stamps and unemployment benefits extension, House Speaker Nancy Pelosi (D, CA) is crafting a package that could cost as much as $300 billion, and in addition to the items identified by Reid, could include oversight of the financial industry, including new mortgage writing rules and a "redefinition" of Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, as well as a tax cut.
 
In addition, there's growing impetus to tighten regulation of hedge funds, private equity funds and credit-default swaps.  While details of the Pelosi package are being worked out, Federal Reserve Chair Ben Bernanke will appear before the House Budget Committee next week to report on the state of the economy. House Minority Leader John Boehner (R, OH), calling the Pelosi package a "boondoggle" rolled out a GOP version that includes expedited energy exploration, tax cuts to business, including a lower tax rate on profits made by U.S. corporations overseas but invested in the U.S., suspending the capital gains tax on equities bought over the next two years, temporarily cutting the corporate tax rate by 10% for companies which agree to buy distressed assets, and suspending rules requiring over-70-year-old citizens to begin withdrawing money from IRAs. Also included is a proposed federal program to insure all assets in accounts businesses use to meet payroll and pay bills.
Wheat Tumbles Amid Continued Market Crisis
 
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The phrase "what goes up, must come down" took on new meaning for wheat producers in the last week, as futures markets reached 16-month lows amid continued turmoil in the broader economy.
 
The fall from historically high prices seen earlier in the year came as part of a decline in commodities futures in general, with speculators changing wheat positions from net-long to net-short and USDA estimating world wheat production to be up more than 10 percent,  with U.S. wheat production up around 17 percent.
 
While most still see the agricultural economy as comparatively strong, with credit generally available though more expensive, there are concerns on the horizon.
 
Wheat futures prices, at this point, wouldn't cover the cost of production for many producers. Though released before recent declines in fuel prices, USDA's latest estimates show average wheat production costs in 2008 at $7.31 per bushel and in 2009 at $8.10 per bushel, compared to the $5.50 to $6.50 range of wheat futures prices.
 
Fears that worldwide economic difficulties will stifle demand for U.S. agricultural products also exist, though U.S. Wheat Associates reports that, as of Oct. 2, cumulative wheat sales stand at 64.5 percent of the USDA forecast for 2008/2009. USDA did not change its forecast for wheat exports in a recent report, but, if the credit crunch extends, especially to developing countries, exports could be affected.